Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Modello Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leisure City
Tract 12086010805 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 5,535 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
12086010805 is a census tract in the Modello area of Leisure City, FL. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,535. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units2,001
Renter share72.6%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$36,507
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leisure City and the region
Centroid at 25.5031, -80.4285 · click any tract to drill in
Why Modello scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leisure City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,680 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure City
1.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure City
1.6
How Modello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 317Total filings 2020-21
- 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.40×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Modello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Modello
Annualized rent equals 55% of average household income of $36,507, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Adults with no health insurance runs 39.9% against 11.3% nationally.
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.3/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%.
That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086010805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010805?
Census tract 12086010805 in the Modello neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086010805?
Median gross rent is $1,680/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010805?
26.1% of residents in tract 12086010805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,535.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 86th, minority 95th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 12086010805 considered part of Modello?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086010805 fall within Modello (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086010805 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086010805 compare to Leisure City overall?
Tract 12086010805 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure City at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leisure City
Top eight tracts in Leisure City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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