Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Carver Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orlando
Tract 12095014608 · Orange, FL · pop 5,435 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 12095014608 sits in the Carver Shores area of Orlando eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,680
Renter share51.3%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate31.6%
Median income$41,990
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orlando and the region
Centroid at 28.5210, -81.4477 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carver Shores scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Orlando
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.6% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,650 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orlando
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orlando
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orlando
4.0
How Carver Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 795Total filings over 9 yrs
- 5.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.5%Peak (2007)
- 86Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 23% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carver Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carver Shores
Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $41,990, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.9/10.
Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.0% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 795 evictions over 9 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 7.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095014608
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095014608?
Census tract 12095014608 in the Carver Shores neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095014608?
Median gross rent is $1,650/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095014608?
31.6% of residents in tract 12095014608 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,435.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095014608?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 90th, minority 93th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 12095014608 considered part of Carver Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095014608 fall within Carver Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095014608?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 795 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095014608 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.74% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12095014608 compare to Orlando overall?
Tract 12095014608 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Orlando at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orlando eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orlando
Top eight tracts in Orlando ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Willows
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Countryside
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Carver Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Florida Center
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Countryside
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Signal Hill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Ventura
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Dover Manor
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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