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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Carver Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orlando

Tract 12095014703 · Orange, FL · pop 2,536 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

12095014703 is a census tract in the Carver Shores area of Orlando, FL. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,536 residents. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 32% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,001
Renter share81.6%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$54,315

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Carver Shores
Very Low
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 77 tracts In Orlando
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 267 tracts In Orange
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#1,664 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orlando and the region

Centroid at 28.5219, -81.4635 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carver Shores scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orlando
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,803 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orlando
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orlando
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orlando
4.0

How Carver Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carver Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0147034.0Orlandoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 440Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 7.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.7%Peak (2007)
  • 75Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12095014703
Filings climbed 67% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carver Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carver Shores

Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $54,315, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Orange County average of 51.4%.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 440 evictions over 9 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2007, when 11.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Orange County average of 4.2 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,803, close to the Orlando average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095014703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095014703?

Census tract 12095014703 in the Carver Shores neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095014703?

Median gross rent is $1,803/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095014703?

10.5% of residents in tract 12095014703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,536.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095014703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 61th, minority 84th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 12095014703 considered part of Carver Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095014703 fall within Carver Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095014703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 440 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095014703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.76% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12095014703 compare to Orlando overall?

Tract 12095014703 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Orlando at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orlando eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orlando

Top eight tracts in Orlando ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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