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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Carver Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orlando

Tract 12095014609 · Orange, FL · pop 5,889 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 12095014609 sits in Carver Shores in Orlando eviction risk, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,705 a month against an average household income of $50,484 a year, roughly 41% of income at the averages. About 81% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 41% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,817
Renter share81.2%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$50,484

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Carver Shores
Elevated
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 77 tracts In Orlando
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 267 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#755 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orlando and the region

Centroid at 28.5113, -81.4497 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carver Shores scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orlando
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,705 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orlando
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orlando
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orlando
4.0

How Carver Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carver Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 014609Orlando: 2.92.9Orlandoparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,557Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 22.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.4%Peak (2003)
  • 125Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120950146092000: 149 filings (21.45/100 renter HHs)2001: 131 filings (18.86/100 renter HHs)2002: 158 filings (22.75/100 renter HHs)2003: 260 filings (37.43/100 renter HHs)2004: 221 filings (31.82/100 renter HHs)2005: 169 filings (21.78/100 renter HHs)2006: 106 filings (13.66/100 renter HHs)2007: 238 filings (30.67/100 renter HHs)2016: 125 filings (6.91/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carver Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carver Shores

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orlando eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.2 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,557 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 22.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 37.4% of renter households in 2003.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095014609

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095014609?

Census tract 12095014609 in the Carver Shores neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095014609?

Median gross rent is $1,705/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095014609?

18.5% of residents in tract 12095014609 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,889.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095014609?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 68th, minority 87th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 12095014609 considered part of Carver Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095014609 fall within Carver Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095014609?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,557 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095014609 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.81% of renter households, peaking at 37.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12095014609 compare to Orlando overall?

Tract 12095014609 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Orlando at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orlando eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orlando

Top eight tracts in Orlando ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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