Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Carver Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orlando
Tract 12095014702 · Orange, FL · pop 5,093 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
12095014702 is a census tract in the Carver Shores area of Orlovista, FL. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,093. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,139
Renter share64.0%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate20.9%
Median income$50,908
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orlando and the region
Centroid at 28.5333, -81.4686 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carver Shores scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Orlando
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.9% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,509 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orlando
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orlando
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orlando
8.6
How Carver Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,180Total filings over 9 yrs
- 6.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2007)
- 126Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carver Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carver Shores
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10. Set annual rent against average income of $50,908 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10.
Cost burden runs 62% here against 51.4% across Orange County. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,180 filings here across 9 tracked years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 18.4% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2007 at 8.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095014702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095014702?
Census tract 12095014702 in the Carver Shores neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095014702?
Median gross rent is $1,509/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095014702?
20.9% of residents in tract 12095014702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,093.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095014702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 57th, minority 73th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 12095014702 considered part of Carver Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095014702 fall within Carver Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095014702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,180 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095014702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.90% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12095014702 compare to Orlando overall?
Tract 12095014702 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Orlando at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orlando eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orlando
Top eight tracts in Orlando ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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