Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Alexander Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Winter Garden
Tract 12095017116 · Orange, FL · pop 8,122 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 4.8/10 for census tract 12095017116 reflects conditions in Alexander Ridge in Winter Garden, Florida. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,913 a month against an average household income of $181,971 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,769
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$181,971
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winter Garden and the region
Centroid at 28.5269, -81.6272 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alexander Ridge scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winter Garden
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,913 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Garden
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.1
How Alexander Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alexander Ridge
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Garden, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Orange County average of 5.2 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095017116
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017116?
Census tract 12095017116 in the Alexander Ridge neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095017116?
Median gross rent is $1,913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017116?
5.5% of residents in tract 12095017116 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,122.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017116?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 21th, minority 67th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 12095017116 considered part of Alexander Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095017116 fall within Alexander Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12095017116 compare to Winter Garden overall?
Tract 12095017116 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Winter Garden at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Garden; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winter Garden
Top eight tracts in Winter Garden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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