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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

St. Petersburg Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12103020206 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,029

12103020206 is a census tract in St. Petersburg, FL. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,029 residents. Severe burden reaches 44%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59% Stable renters 17% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units2,096
Renter share75.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate27.7%
Median income$42,458

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 77 tracts In St. Petersburg
Very High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,143 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 27.7160, -82.6731 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Petersburg scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.7% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,446 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0

How St. Petersburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
St. Petersburg risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0202063.5St. Petersburgparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,014Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 8.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.8%Peak (2003)
  • 77Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103020206
Filings dropped 55% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 578Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.52×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Petersburg

Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 78% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $42,458, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.

75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8.

The filing record is not thin: 2,014 evictions over 18 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,446, 13% below the St. Petersburg average. Filings peaked in 2003 at 15.8% of renter households.

In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103020206

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020206?

Census tract 12103020206 in St. Petersburg scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103020206?

Median gross rent is $1,446/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020206?

27.7% of residents in tract 12103020206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,029.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 39th, minority 79th, housing 90th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020206?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,014 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020206 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.36% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12103020206 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12103020206 compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Tract 12103020206 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg

Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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