Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Waterside Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103020202 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,918 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
The Waterside neighborhood of St. Petersburg is where census tract 12103020202 sits, home to 3,918 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #70,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,579 a month against an average household income of $72,065 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,682
Renter share22.9%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$72,065
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Low
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7108, -82.6392 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterside scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,579 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Waterside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 96Total filings over 17 yrs
- 1.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.5%Peak (2010)
- 4Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 37Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterside
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.70x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020202?
Census tract 12103020202 in the Waterside neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020202?
Median gross rent is $1,579/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020202?
7.5% of residents in tract 12103020202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,918.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 79th, minority 75th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 12103020202 considered part of Waterside?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020202 fall within Waterside (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 96 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12103020202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.93% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103020202 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020202 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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