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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Waterside Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg

Tract 12103020202 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,918 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 12103020202 covers part of the Waterside area of St. Petersburg, FL, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,918 residents. Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 14% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,682
Renter share22.9%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$72,065

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Waterside
Moderate
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#45 of 77 tracts In St. Petersburg
Moderate
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#179 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#3,381 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 27.7108, -82.6392 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterside scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,579 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0

How Waterside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterside risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0202023.5St. Petersburgparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 96Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 1.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak (2010)
  • 4Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103020202
Filings dropped 56% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 37Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterside

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Court records carry 96 eviction filings across 17 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2010 at 5.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103020202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020202?

Census tract 12103020202 in the Waterside neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103020202?

Median gross rent is $1,579/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020202?

7.5% of residents in tract 12103020202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,918.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 79th, minority 75th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 12103020202 considered part of Waterside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020202 fall within Waterside (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 96 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12103020202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.93% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103020202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103020202 compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Tract 12103020202 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg

Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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