Within parent city
84
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #36,961 of 84,120 nationally
St. Petersburg Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12103020209 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,630
Tract 12103020209, home to 4,630 residents in St. Petersburg, scores 4.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,375 monthly, set against $57,554 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,851
Renter share34.8%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$57,554
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
National
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7055, -82.6527 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Petersburg scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,375 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How St. Petersburg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 27%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,506Total filings over 18 yrs
- 10.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.0%Peak (2013)
- 39Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 58% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 302Total filings 2020-21
- 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Petersburg
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,506 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 10.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 32.0% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020209
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020209?
Census tract 12103020209 in St. Petersburg scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020209?
Median gross rent is $1,375/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020209?
17.3% of residents in tract 12103020209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,630.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020209?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 44th, minority 72th, housing 63th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020209?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,506 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020209 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.55% of renter households, peaking at 32.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020209 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103020209 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020209 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12103020209 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Related