Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Grand Central Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103021800 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,290 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 12103021800 sits in the Grand Central area of St. Petersburg, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. Population here is 2,290. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,131
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$66,103
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7697, -82.6650 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grand Central scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,217 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Grand Central compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 38%Grade C
- 29%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 804Total filings over 18 yrs
- 8.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.1%Peak (2000)
- 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 83% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 123Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grand Central
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.2/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. At $1,217 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of St. Petersburg commands.
The filing record is not thin: 804 evictions over 18 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2000 at 13.1% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 57% of renters. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103021800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103021800?
Census tract 12103021800 in the Grand Central neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103021800?
Median gross rent is $1,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103021800?
12.5% of residents in tract 12103021800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,290.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103021800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 30th, minority 49th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 12103021800 considered part of Grand Central?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103021800 fall within Grand Central (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103021800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 804 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103021800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.10% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103021800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103021800 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103021800 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103021800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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