Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Grand Central Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103021800 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,290 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12103021800 (the Grand Central area of St. Petersburg, Florida) comes in at 4.6/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 26% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,217 monthly, set against $66,103 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,131
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$66,103
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7697, -82.6650 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grand Central scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,217 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Grand Central compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 38%Grade C
- 29%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 804Total filings over 18 yrs
- 8.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.1%Peak (2000)
- 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 83% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 123Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grand Central
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.70x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
Part of this tract, about 29% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103021800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103021800?
Census tract 12103021800 in the Grand Central neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103021800?
Median gross rent is $1,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103021800?
12.5% of residents in tract 12103021800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,290.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103021800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 30th, minority 49th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 12103021800 considered part of Grand Central?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103021800 fall within Grand Central (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103021800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 804 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103021800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.10% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103021800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103021800 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103021800 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103021800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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