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Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Grand Central Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,290 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.6–3.6

Grand Central is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Petersburg with 1 census tract and a population of 2,290 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,217/month sits 27% lower than the St. Petersburg citywide average ($1,663).

Risk score
3.6
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Grand Central vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.2% +69%
St. Petersburg: 33.9%
Average gross rent
$1,217 -27%
St. Petersburg: $1,663
Average HH income
$66,103 -16%
St. Petersburg: $78,724
Poverty rate
12.5% +7%
St. Petersburg: 11.7%
Renter share
47.9% +29%
St. Petersburg: 37.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Central and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.6–3.6

Why Grand Central scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
12.5% below poverty line · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

Grand Central vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grand Central score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Grand Central: 3.63.6Grand CentralNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Grand Central

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103021800 3.6 2,290 57% $1,217
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 45%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Grand Central

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 804Total filings (sum)
  • 8.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.1%Peak year (2000)
  • 2.45%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 123Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.7Avg monthly observed
  • 2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.70×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Grand Central

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grand Central?

Grand Central scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grand Central compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Grand Central scores 0.9 points higher than St. Petersburg overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,217 vs $1,663.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grand Central?

Average gross rent in Grand Central is $1,217/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grand Central residents are renters?

48% of Grand Central households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 2,290 residents.
Q5

Is Grand Central a high social-vulnerability area?

Grand Central sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Grand Central for landlords?

Grand Central carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Grand Central?

Grand Central has 2,223 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.4%), Hispanic / Latino (8.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grand Central

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grand Central.

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