Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Ponce de Leon Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103023000 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,864 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 12103023000 in the Ponce de Leon area of St. Petersburg, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,864 residents. 69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,184
Renter share14.3%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$59,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.8024, -82.6672 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ponce de Leon scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,539 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Ponce de Leon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 49%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 297Total filings over 18 yrs
- 6.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.0%Peak (2002)
- 21Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 66Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ponce de Leon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ponce de Leon
24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 297 filings here across 18 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 12.0% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103023000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103023000?
Census tract 12103023000 in the Ponce de Leon neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103023000?
Median gross rent is $1,539/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103023000?
15.9% of residents in tract 12103023000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,864.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103023000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 75th, minority 57th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 12103023000 considered part of Ponce de Leon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103023000 fall within Ponce de Leon (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103023000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 297 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103023000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.33% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103023000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103023000 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103023000 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103023000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 49% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Related