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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,261 of 84,120 nationally

Historic Uptown Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg

Tract 12103023501 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,542 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 12103023501 sits in Historic Uptown in St. Petersburg, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,310 a month against an average household income of $80,764 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 24% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,125
Renter share51.2%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$80,764

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Historic Uptown
Very High
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 77 tracts In St. Petersburg
Elevated
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#110 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,916 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 27.7844, -82.6446 · click any tract to drill in

Why Historic Uptown scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,310 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0

How Historic Uptown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Historic Uptown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 023501St. Petersburg: 2.72.7St. Petersburgparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 88Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-01-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-08-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-07-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Historic Uptown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Historic Uptown

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.53x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103023501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103023501?

Census tract 12103023501 in the Historic Uptown neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103023501?

Median gross rent is $1,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103023501?

15.4% of residents in tract 12103023501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,542.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103023501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 9th, minority 36th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 12103023501 considered part of Historic Uptown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103023501 fall within Historic Uptown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12103023501 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12103023501 compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Tract 12103023501 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12103023501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg

Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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