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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Historic Uptown Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg

Tract 12103023501 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,542 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 12103023501 sits in the Historic Uptown area of St. Petersburg, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 24% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,125
Renter share51.2%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$80,764

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Historic Uptown
Very High
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 77 tracts In St. Petersburg
Elevated
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#135 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Moderate
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#2,707 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 27.7844, -82.6446 · click any tract to drill in

Why Historic Uptown scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,310 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0

How Historic Uptown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Historic Uptown risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0235013.5St. Petersburgparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 88Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Historic Uptown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Historic Uptown

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.

Average gross rent is $1,310, 21% below the St. Petersburg average. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $80,764. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103023501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103023501?

Census tract 12103023501 in the Historic Uptown neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103023501?

Median gross rent is $1,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103023501?

15.4% of residents in tract 12103023501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,542.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103023501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 9th, minority 36th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 12103023501 considered part of Historic Uptown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103023501 fall within Historic Uptown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12103023501 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12103023501 compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Tract 12103023501 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12103023501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg

Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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