Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Historic Uptown Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103023502 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,057 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 12103023502 sits in the Historic Uptown area of St. Petersburg, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 53%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units640
Renter share75.3%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$56,957
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7863, -82.6409 · click any tract to drill in
Why Historic Uptown scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,328 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Historic Uptown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 2%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 77%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 77Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.97×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Historic Uptown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Historic Uptown
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,328, 20% below the St. Petersburg average.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $56,957.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103023502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103023502?
Census tract 12103023502 in the Historic Uptown neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103023502?
Median gross rent is $1,328/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103023502?
8.3% of residents in tract 12103023502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,057.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103023502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 3th, minority 28th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 12103023502 considered part of Historic Uptown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103023502 fall within Historic Uptown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103023502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.97× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103023502 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103023502 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12103023502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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