Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Fossil Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103024403 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,552 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 12103024403 sits in the Fossil Park area of St. Petersburg, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. Population here is 4,552. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,939
Renter share32.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$61,656
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.8324, -82.6424 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fossil Park scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,301 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Fossil Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 16%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 575Total filings over 18 yrs
- 4.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2013)
- 29Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 167Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fossil Park
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,301, 22% below the St. Petersburg average.
The filing record is not thin: 575 evictions over 18 years of observation. It sits 0.6 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 7.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 51% of renters. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $61,656.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103024403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024403?
Census tract 12103024403 in the Fossil Park neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103024403?
Median gross rent is $1,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024403?
17.1% of residents in tract 12103024403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,552.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 59th, minority 35th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 12103024403 considered part of Fossil Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024403 fall within Fossil Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 575 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103024403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.52% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103024403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103024403 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103024403 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103024403 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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