Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Fossil Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103024403 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,552 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12103024403 in Fossil Park in St. Petersburg ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,552 residents. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,301 monthly, set against $61,656 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,939
Renter share32.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$61,656
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.8324, -82.6424 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fossil Park scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,301 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Fossil Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 16%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 575Total filings over 18 yrs
- 4.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2013)
- 29Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 167Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fossil Park
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.88x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103024403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024403?
Census tract 12103024403 in the Fossil Park neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103024403?
Median gross rent is $1,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024403?
17.1% of residents in tract 12103024403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,552.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 59th, minority 35th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 12103024403 considered part of Fossil Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024403 fall within Fossil Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 575 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103024403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.52% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103024403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103024403 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103024403 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103024403 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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5.4
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5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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Palmetto Park
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
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Riviera Bay
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
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Bartlett Park
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Bridgewater Place
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Holiday Park
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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