Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Sienna Bay Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103024412 ·
Pinellas, FL · pop 5,034 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 12103024412 sits in the Sienna Bay area of St. Petersburg, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%Stable renters 47%Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units2,678
Renter share83.0%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$94,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Sienna Bay
Moderate
Within parent city
30th percentile
#54 of 77 tracts In St. Petersburg
Low
Within county
18th percentile
#224 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Very Low
Within state
28th percentile
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.8741, -82.6586 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sienna Bay scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,064 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Sienna Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
31%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
950Total filings over 18 yrs
6.28%Avg annual filing rate
14.4%Peak (2000)
65Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2017
Filings dropped 29% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
572Total filings 2020-21
7.8Avg monthly (observed)
4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
1.71×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sienna Bay
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%. At $2,064 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of St. Petersburg commands.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 950 filings here across 18 tracked years.
It sits 0.8 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8. Filings peaked in 2000 at 14.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103024412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024412?
Census tract 12103024412 in the Sienna Bay neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103024412?
Median gross rent is $2,064/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024412?
7.6% of residents in tract 12103024412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,034.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 2th, minority 46th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 12103024412 considered part of Sienna Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024412 fall within Sienna Bay (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024412?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 950 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103024412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.28% of renter households, peaking at 14.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103024412 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103024412 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103024412 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.