Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Sienna Bay Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103024412 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,034 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
In the Sienna Bay neighborhood of St. Petersburg, census tract 12103024412 scores 4.5/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 24% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,064 a month while the average household earns $94,167 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 83% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units2,678
Renter share83.0%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$94,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
21
th percentile
Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.8741, -82.6586 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sienna Bay scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,064 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Sienna Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 950Total filings over 18 yrs
- 6.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.4%Peak (2000)
- 65Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 572Total filings 2020-21
- 7.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sienna Bay
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.71x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103024412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024412?
Census tract 12103024412 in the Sienna Bay neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103024412?
Median gross rent is $2,064/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024412?
7.6% of residents in tract 12103024412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,034.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 2th, minority 46th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 12103024412 considered part of Sienna Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024412 fall within Sienna Bay (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024412?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 950 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103024412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.28% of renter households, peaking at 14.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103024412 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103024412 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103024412 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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