Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
The Rosery Eviction Risk: Moderate , Largo
Tract 12103025204 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,169 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 12103025204 sits in the The Rosery area of Belleair Bluffs, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It is home to 3,169 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,610
Renter share31.3%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$48,871
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Largo and the region
Centroid at 27.9215, -82.8118 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Rosery scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Largo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,388 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Largo
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Largo
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Largo
5.8
How The Rosery compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 221Total filings over 18 yrs
- 2.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2004)
- 10Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 84Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Rosery. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Rosery
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $48,871 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 221 filings here across 18 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2004 at 3.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 51% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,388, close to the Belleair Bluffs average.
31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025204?
Census tract 12103025204 in the The Rosery neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025204?
Median gross rent is $1,388/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025204?
16.5% of residents in tract 12103025204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,169.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 48th, minority 22th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025204 considered part of The Rosery?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025204 fall within The Rosery (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025204?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 221 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.48% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025204 compare to Largo overall?
Tract 12103025204 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Largo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Largo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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