Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Cove Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Palm Harbor
Tract 12103027504 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,492 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 12103027504 sits in the Cove Springs area of Tarpon Springs, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,155
Renter share23.9%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$61,801
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Palm Harbor and the region
Centroid at 28.1332, -82.7649 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cove Springs scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,265 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Harbor
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Harbor
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Harbor
6.7
How Cove Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 35Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.97×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cove Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cove Springs
about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Pinellas County average of 53.4%. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,265, close to the Tarpon Springs average.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $61,801.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027504?
Census tract 12103027504 in the Cove Springs neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027504?
Median gross rent is $1,265/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027504?
8.7% of residents in tract 12103027504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,492.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 72th, minority 31th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027504 considered part of Cove Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027504 fall within Cove Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027504 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.97× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103027504 compare to Palm Harbor overall?
Tract 12103027504 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Palm Harbor at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Harbor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Palm Harbor
Top eight tracts in Palm Harbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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