Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Cove Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Palm Harbor
Tract 12103027202 · Pinellas, FL · pop 6,217 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
For landlords sizing up Cove Springs in Palm Harbor, census tract 12103027202 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. That is riskier than about 50% of US census tracts.
About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,870 a month against an average household income of $82,708 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,647
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$82,708
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Palm Harbor and the region
Centroid at 28.1055, -82.7832 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cove Springs scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,870 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Harbor
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Harbor
7.1
How Cove Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 230Total filings over 18 yrs
- 3.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2004)
- 5Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 58% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 49Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cove Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cove Springs
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Palm Harbor, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 230 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.0% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027202?
Census tract 12103027202 in the Cove Springs neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027202?
Median gross rent is $1,870/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027202?
7.3% of residents in tract 12103027202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,217.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 11th, minority 17th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027202 considered part of Cove Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027202 fall within Cove Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 230 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.09% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103027202 compare to Palm Harbor overall?
Tract 12103027202 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Palm Harbor at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Harbor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Palm Harbor
Top eight tracts in Palm Harbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Westlake Village
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Gleneagles
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027318
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Gleneagles
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Harbor View
2.7
/ 10 · Low
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