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Neighborhood · Palm Harbor, FL

Cove Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,709 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.6/10 · range 2.4–3

Cove Springs is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Palm Harbor with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,709 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 67% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,697/month sits 6% lower than the Palm Harbor citywide average ($1,806).

Risk score
2.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Cove Springs vs Palm Harbor How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
66.8% +63%
Palm Harbor: 41.1%
Average gross rent
$1,697 -6%
Palm Harbor: $1,806
Average HH income
$76,726 +2%
Palm Harbor: $75,354
Poverty rate
7.7% -25%
Palm Harbor: 10.3%
Renter share
17.5% -21%
Palm Harbor: 22.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cove Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.4–3

Why Cove Springs scores 2.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
67% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.8 across tracts
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.1 across tracts
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 4.5–5.2 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–7.1 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
7.7% below poverty line · Range 1.8–2.2 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–4.5 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Cove Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cove Springs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Cove Springs: 2.62.6Cove SpringsNeighborhoodParent city: 2.22.2Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Cove Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103027504 3 2,492 74% $1,265
12103027202 2.4 6,217 64% $1,870
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 26%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 21%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cove Springs

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 230Total filings (sum)
  • 3.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak year (2004)
  • 1.18%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 84Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly observed
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.11×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Cove Springs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cove Springs?

Cove Springs scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cove Springs compare to Palm Harbor overall?

Cove Springs scores 0.4 points higher than Palm Harbor overall (2.2/10). Renters spend 67% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $1,697 vs $1,806.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cove Springs?

Average gross rent in Cove Springs is $1,697/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cove Springs residents are renters?

18% of Cove Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Palm Harbor). The neighborhood has 8,709 residents.
Q5

Is Cove Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Cove Springs sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cove Springs have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cove Springs is census tract 12103027504 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.4 to 3, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Cove Springs for landlords?

Cove Springs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Palm Harbor as a whole (2.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cove Springs?

Cove Springs has 9,069 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.3%), Hispanic / Latino (11.6%), Other / Multiracial (1.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cove Springs

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Palm Harbor

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cove Springs.

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