Skip to content
Neighborhood · Palm Harbor, FL

Cove Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,709 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.1–3.7

Cove Springs spans 2 census tracts of Palm Harbor, FL, population 8,709. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Palm Harbor baseline of 41.1%, 67% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.6/10.

The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Court records for this tract carry 230 eviction filings.

Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 5.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.2% in 2017, is well off that peak. At $1,697 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Palm Harbor commands.

That places it #4 of 6 neighborhoods in Palm Harbor. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, The Village of Lake Tarpon and Allen's Ridge score within a fraction of it.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.6 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Cove Springs vs Palm Harbor How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
66.8% +63%
Palm Harbor: 41.1%
Average gross rent
$1,697 -6%
Palm Harbor: $1,806
Average HH income
$76,726 +2%
Palm Harbor: $75,354
Poverty rate
7.7% -25%
Palm Harbor: 10.3%
Renter share
17.5% -21%
Palm Harbor: 22.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cove Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.1–3.7

Why Cove Springs scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
67% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.8 across tracts
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.1 across tracts
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 4.5–5.2 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–7.1 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
7.7% below poverty line · Range 1.8–2.2 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–4.5 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Cove Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cove Springs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3Cove SpringsNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Cove Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103027504 3.7 2,492 74% $1,265
12103027202 3.1 6,217 64% $1,870
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 26%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 21%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cove Springs

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 230Total filings (sum)
  • 3.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak year (2004)
  • 1.18%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 84Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly observed
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.11×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Cove Springs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cove Springs?

Cove Springs scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cove Springs compare to Palm Harbor overall?

Cove Springs scores 0.5 points lower than Palm Harbor overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 67% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $1,697 vs $1,806.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cove Springs?

Average gross rent in Cove Springs is $1,697/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cove Springs residents are renters?

18% of Cove Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Palm Harbor). The neighborhood has 8,709 residents.
Q5

Is Cove Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Cove Springs sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cove Springs have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cove Springs is census tract 12103027504 (score 3.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 3.7, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Cove Springs for landlords?

Cove Springs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Palm Harbor as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cove Springs?

Cove Springs has 9,069 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.3%), Hispanic / Latino (11.6%), Other / Multiracial (1.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cove Springs

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Palm Harbor

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cove Springs.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further