Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Palmer Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12115002016 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,849 · 33% of tract blocks fall in Palmer Ranch
For landlords sizing up Palmer Ranch, census tract 12115002016 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. That is riskier than about 14% of US census tracts.
About 27% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,730 a month while the average household earns $114,107 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,281
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$114,107
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
National
7
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Palmer Ranch and the region
Centroid at 27.2509, -82.4883 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palmer Ranch scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,730 rent vs county FMR
9.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
4.8
How Palmer Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palmer Ranch
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Palmer Ranch, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002016
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002016?
Census tract 12115002016 in Palmer Ranch scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115002016?
Median gross rent is $2,730/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002016?
3.8% of residents in tract 12115002016 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,849.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002016?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 42th, minority 13th, housing 5th.
Q5
How does tract 12115002016 compare to Palmer Ranch overall?
Tract 12115002016 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Palmer Ranch at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palmer Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Palmer Ranch
Top eight tracts in Palmer Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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