Census Tract · Ranked #56,146 of 84,120 nationally

Palmer Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115002007 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,287 · 68% of tract blocks fall in Palmer Ranch

Census tract 12115002007 is in Palmer Ranch, Florida. It has a population of 2,287 and an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). 58% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 40% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,611/month against a median household income of $65,069 — roughly 30% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 10% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units1,477

Renter share25.2%

SVI overall0.33

Poverty rate14.0%

Median income$65,069

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Palmer Ranch and the region

Centroid at 27.2184, -82.4789 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palmer Ranch scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Palmer Ranch

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

14.0% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,611 rent vs county FMR

3.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Palmer Ranch

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Palmer Ranch

5.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Palmer Ranch

4.8

How Palmer Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

44%Socioeconomic
24%Household composition
6%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

25Total filings over 5 yrs
1.68%Avg annual filing rate
2.2%Peak (2018)
7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 — 2018

Filings climbed 17% over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002007

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002007?

Census tract 12115002007 in Palmer Ranch scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12115002007?

Median gross rent is $1,611/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002007?

14.0% of residents in tract 12115002007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,287.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002007?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 24th, minority 6th, housing 45th.

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002007?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002007 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.68% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

How does tract 12115002007 compare to Palmer Ranch overall?

Tract 12115002007 scores 4.8/10 — higher than the parent city of Palmer Ranch at 4.0/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palmer Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palmer Ranch

Top eight tracts in Palmer Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.