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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Palmer Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115002015 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,013 · 66% of tract blocks fall in Palmer Ranch

Census tract 12115002015 covers part of Palmer Ranch, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,013 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 16% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units982
Renter share37.7%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$103,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Palmer Ranch
Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#110 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palmer Ranch and the region

Centroid at 27.2553, -82.4721 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palmer Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,027 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
4.8

How Palmer Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palmer Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0020153.5Palmer Ranchparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palmer Ranch

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

Against Sarasota County at 50.3%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Average gross rent is $2,027, 13% above the Palmer Ranch average. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $103,167.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002015

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002015?

Census tract 12115002015 in Palmer Ranch scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002015?

Median gross rent is $2,027/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002015?

4.7% of residents in tract 12115002015 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,013.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002015?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 77th, minority 16th, housing 61th.
Q5

How does tract 12115002015 compare to Palmer Ranch overall?

Tract 12115002015 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Palmer Ranch at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palmer Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palmer Ranch

Top eight tracts in Palmer Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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