Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Palmer Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12115002015 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,013 · 66% of tract blocks fall in Palmer Ranch
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 12115002015 in Palmer Ranch ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,013 residents. On the national scale it ranks #61,981 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,027 monthly, set against $103,167 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units982
Renter share37.7%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$103,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
National
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Palmer Ranch and the region
Centroid at 27.2553, -82.4721 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palmer Ranch scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,027 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
4.8
How Palmer Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palmer Ranch
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Palmer Ranch, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002015
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002015?
Census tract 12115002015 in Palmer Ranch scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115002015?
Median gross rent is $2,027/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002015?
4.7% of residents in tract 12115002015 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,013.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002015?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 77th, minority 16th, housing 61th.
Q5
How does tract 12115002015 compare to Palmer Ranch overall?
Tract 12115002015 scores 1.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Palmer Ranch at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palmer Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Palmer Ranch
Top eight tracts in Palmer Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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