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Census Tract · Ranked #63,834 of 84,120 nationally

Palmer Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115002008 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,184 · 76% of tract blocks fall in Palmer Ranch

Census tract 12115002008 is in Palmer Ranch, Florida. It has a population of 3,184 and an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). 61% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 37% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,585/month against a median household income of $78,713 — roughly 24% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 15% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,660
Renter share37.4%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$78,713

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank — 60th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 6 tracts In Palmer Ranch
Elevated
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank — 48th percentileBottomTop
#64 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Moderate
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank — 29th percentileBottomTop
#3,637 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
24 th percentile
Rank — 24th percentileBottomTop
#63,834 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palmer Ranch and the region

Centroid at 27.2294, -82.4821 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palmer Ranch scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,585 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
4.8

How Palmer Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palmer Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 002008Palmer Ranch: 4.04.0Palmer Ranchparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 73Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.1%Peak (2003)
  • 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 — 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121150020082002: 15 filings (5.60/100 renter HHs)2003: 27 filings (10.09/100 renter HHs)2015: 11 filings (1.71/100 renter HHs)2016: 13 filings (2.39/100 renter HHs)2018: 7 filings (1.28/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002008

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002008?

Census tract 12115002008 in Palmer Ranch scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002008?

Median gross rent is $1,585/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002008?

4.0% of residents in tract 12115002008 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,184.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002008?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 82th, minority 35th, housing 70th.

Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002008?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 73 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002008 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.21% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q6

How does tract 12115002008 compare to Palmer Ranch overall?

Tract 12115002008 scores 4.5/10 — higher than the parent city of Palmer Ranch at 4.0/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palmer Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palmer Ranch

Top eight tracts in Palmer Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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