Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
Palmer Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12115002008 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,184 · 76% of tract blocks fall in Palmer Ranch
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12115002008 (Palmer Ranch in Sarasota County, Florida) comes in at 4.5/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 24th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,585 monthly, set against $78,713 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,660
Renter share37.4%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$78,713
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Very Low
National
17
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Palmer Ranch and the region
Centroid at 27.2294, -82.4821 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palmer Ranch scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,585 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
4.8
How Palmer Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 73Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2003)
- 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palmer Ranch
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Palmer Ranch, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 73 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 4.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.1% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002008
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002008?
Census tract 12115002008 in Palmer Ranch scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115002008?
Median gross rent is $1,585/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002008?
4.0% of residents in tract 12115002008 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,184.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002008?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 82th, minority 35th, housing 70th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002008?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 73 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002008 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.21% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115002008 compare to Palmer Ranch overall?
Tract 12115002008 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Palmer Ranch at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palmer Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Palmer Ranch
Top eight tracts in Palmer Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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