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Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Palmer Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115002008 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,184 · 76% of tract blocks fall in Palmer Ranch

12115002008 is a census tract in Palmer Ranch, FL. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,184 residents. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 15% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,660
Renter share37.4%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$78,713

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Palmer Ranch
High
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#92 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#3,550 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palmer Ranch and the region

Centroid at 27.2294, -82.4821 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palmer Ranch scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,585 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
4.8

How Palmer Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palmer Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0020083.5Palmer Ranchparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 73Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.1%Peak (2003)
  • 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115002008
Filings dropped 53% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palmer Ranch

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Sarasota County average of 50.3%. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. The filing record is not thin: 73 evictions over 5 years of observation.

It sits 0.7 points below the Sarasota County average of 3.8. Average gross rent is $1,585, 12% below the Palmer Ranch average.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 10.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002008

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002008?

Census tract 12115002008 in Palmer Ranch scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002008?

Median gross rent is $1,585/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002008?

4.0% of residents in tract 12115002008 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,184.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002008?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 82th, minority 35th, housing 70th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002008?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 73 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002008 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.21% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115002008 compare to Palmer Ranch overall?

Tract 12115002008 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Palmer Ranch at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palmer Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palmer Ranch

Top eight tracts in Palmer Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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