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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Palmer Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115002013 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,883 · 63% of tract blocks fall in Palmer Ranch

With a score of 3/10, tract 12115002013 in Palmer Ranch, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,883 residents. Cost burden runs about one in five here against 50.3% across Sarasota County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 23% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,831
Renter share29.4%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$86,779

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Palmer Ranch
Elevated
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palmer Ranch and the region

Centroid at 27.2552, -82.4559 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palmer Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,306 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
4.8

How Palmer Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palmer Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0020133.5Palmer Ranchparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palmer Ranch

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $2,306, 29% above the Palmer Ranch average. The voucher gap is 24.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $86,779.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002013

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002013?

Census tract 12115002013 in Palmer Ranch scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002013?

Median gross rent is $2,306/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002013?

3.2% of residents in tract 12115002013 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,883.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002013?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 77th, minority 19th, housing 85th.
Q5

How does tract 12115002013 compare to Palmer Ranch overall?

Tract 12115002013 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Palmer Ranch at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palmer Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palmer Ranch

Top eight tracts in Palmer Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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