Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Savannah

Tract 13051002900 · Chatham County, GA · pop 2,773 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Eviction risk in Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District in Savannah centers on tract 13051002900, which scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,773 residents. It lands near the 32nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 29% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,330 monthly, set against $127,614 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 14% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units1,260

Renter share19.1%

SVI overall0.01

Poverty rate7.8%

Median income$127,614

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Savannah and the region

Centroid at 32.0449, -81.0990 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Savannah

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

7.8% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,330 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Savannah

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Savannah

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Savannah

3.5

How Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

10%Socioeconomic
8%Household composition
10%Racial/ethnic minority
2%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

11%Grade A
64%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

22Total filings over 1 yrs
5.06%Avg annual filing rate
5.1%Peak (2011)
22Filings in 2011 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.5%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
5.4%Food insecurity
3.5%SNAP enrollment
3.9%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
12.5%Frequent mental distress
20.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Savannah eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Chatham County average of 5.6 and below the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 13051002900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13051002900?

Census tract 13051002900 in the Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13051002900?

Median gross rent is $1,330/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13051002900?

7.8% of residents in tract 13051002900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,773.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13051002900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 8th, minority 10th, housing 2th.

Is tract 13051002900 considered part of Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13051002900 fall within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13051002900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 13051002900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.06% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 13051002900 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13051002900 compare to Savannah overall?

Tract 13051002900 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Savannah at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Savannah eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 13051002900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Savannah

Top eight tracts in Savannah ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org