Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Northcliff Colony Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

Tract 13139000401 · Hall County, GA · pop 3,209 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

How risky is the Northcliff Colony neighborhood of Gainesville for landlords? Census tract 13139000401 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 75th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

62% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,334 a month while the average household earns $70,560 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 20% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units1,421

Renter share52.3%

SVI overall0.92

Poverty rate9.7%

Median income$70,560

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 34.3442, -83.8609 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northcliff Colony scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Gainesville

3.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.8

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

9.7% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,334 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Gainesville

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Gainesville

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Gainesville

7.9

How Northcliff Colony compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.2%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
15.1%Food insecurity
9.9%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
17.0%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
34.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northcliff Colony

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hall County average of 5.6 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 13139000401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13139000401?

Census tract 13139000401 in the Northcliff Colony neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13139000401?

Median gross rent is $1,334/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13139000401?

9.7% of residents in tract 13139000401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,209.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13139000401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 79th, minority 50th, housing 99th.

Is tract 13139000401 considered part of Northcliff Colony?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13139000401 fall within Northcliff Colony (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 13139000401 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13139000401 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 13139000401 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.