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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Oglethorpe Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Augusta

Tract 13245001000 · Richmond County, GA · pop 3,073 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Oglethorpe Homes in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) anchors census tract 13245001000, which lands at 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $986 a month while the average household earns $57,528 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 30% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,205
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate18.3%
Median income$57,528

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Oglethorpe Homes
Very Low
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 55 tracts In Augusta
Moderate
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 56 tracts In Richmond County
Moderate
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#614 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Augusta and the region

Centroid at 33.4710, -82.0010 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oglethorpe Homes scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Augusta
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
18.3% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$986 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Augusta
1.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Augusta
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Augusta
3.2

How Oglethorpe Homes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oglethorpe Homes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 001000Augusta: 2.62.6Augustaparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 802Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 11.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.4%Peak (2001)
  • 78Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2010
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 132450010002001: 102 filings (14.39/100 renter HHs)2003: 98 filings (13.83/100 renter HHs)2004: 91 filings (12.84/100 renter HHs)2005: 92 filings (11.44/100 renter HHs)2006: 94 filings (11.69/100 renter HHs)2007: 82 filings (10.19/100 renter HHs)2008: 79 filings (9.82/100 renter HHs)2009: 86 filings (10.69/100 renter HHs)2010: 78 filings (10.86/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oglethorpe Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oglethorpe Homes

What moves this score most is economic stress at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Augusta eviction risk-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond County average of 5.8 and in line with the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 13245001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13245001000?

Census tract 13245001000 in the Oglethorpe Homes neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13245001000?

Median gross rent is $986/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13245001000?

18.3% of residents in tract 13245001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,073.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13245001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 9th, minority 69th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 13245001000 considered part of Oglethorpe Homes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13245001000 fall within Oglethorpe Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13245001000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 802 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 13245001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.75% of renter households, peaking at 14.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 13245001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 13245001000 compare to Augusta overall?

Tract 13245001000 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Augusta at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Augusta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 13245001000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 38% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Augusta

Top eight tracts in Augusta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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