Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003002802 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,458 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 6.4/10, tract 15003002802 in the Lower Mānoa area of Urban Honolulu, HI reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3022, -157.8022 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Mānoa scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Lower Mānoa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.2%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 3.5%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 24.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa
Against Honolulu County at 50.9%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.
Average gross rent is $2,214, 21% above the Urban Honolulu average. SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 15003002802
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002802?
What is the average rent in tract 15003002802?
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002802?
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002802?
Is tract 15003002802 considered part of Lower Mānoa?
What share of households in tract 15003002802 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 15003002802 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.