Within neighborhood
17
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003002900 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,502 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
15003002900 is a census tract in the Lower Mānoa area of Urban Honolulu, HI. It scores 6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,502 residents. 17% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units897
Renter share43.8%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$117,178
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3060, -157.8078 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Mānoa scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,785 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Lower Mānoa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 2.7%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 20.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,785, close to the Urban Honolulu average.
Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $117,178. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003002900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002900?
Census tract 15003002900 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003002900?
Median gross rent is $1,785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002900?
6.1% of residents in tract 15003002900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,502.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 23th, minority 77th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 15003002900 considered part of Lower Mānoa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003002900 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003002900 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003002900 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003002900 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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