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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003408 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,986 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 15003003408, home to 1,986 residents in Downtown in Urban Honolulu, scores 5.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 54th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,567 monthly, set against $68,884 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 57% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 25% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,103
Renter share57.2%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$68,884

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 11 tracts In Downtown
Moderate
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Elevated
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#59 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#81 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3053, -157.8419 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,567 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 003408Urban Honolulu: 5.35.3Urban Honoluluparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and above the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Asian and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003408

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003408?

Census tract 15003003408 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003003408?

Median gross rent is $1,567/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003408?

13.5% of residents in tract 15003003408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,986.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 21th, minority 89th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 15003003408 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003408 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003003408 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003003408 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003408 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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