Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003003408 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,986 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
15003003408 is a census tract in the Downtown area of Urban Honolulu, HI. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,986 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,103
Renter share57.2%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$68,884
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3053, -157.8419 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,567 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.9%Food insecurity
- 12.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
It sits 1.9 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.
56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Honolulu County average of 50.9%. Average gross rent is $1,567, 14% below the Urban Honolulu average.
That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10.
Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $68,884. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003003408
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003408?
Census tract 15003003408 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003003408?
Median gross rent is $1,567/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003408?
13.5% of residents in tract 15003003408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,986.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003408?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 21th, minority 89th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 15003003408 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003408 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003003408 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003003408 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003003408 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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