Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003413 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,295 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 15003003413 sits in the Downtown area of Urban Honolulu eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 2,295 residents. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 26% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,339
Renter share71.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$54,776

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 11 tracts In Downtown
Elevated
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3059, -157.8449 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,563 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0034136.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $54,776, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. At $1,563 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands.

That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003413

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003413?

Census tract 15003003413 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003003413?

Median gross rent is $1,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003413?

15.1% of residents in tract 15003003413 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,295.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003413?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 99th, minority 76th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 15003003413 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003413 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003003413 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003003413 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003413 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related