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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003501 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,380 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

How risky is Downtown in Urban Honolulu for landlords? Census tract 15003003501 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 50% of US census tracts.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,929 a month against an average household income of $66,042 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 31% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,245
Renter share54.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$66,042

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 11 tracts In Downtown
Elevated
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3027, -157.8463 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,929 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 003501Urban Honolulu: 5.35.3Urban Honoluluparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and in line with the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Asian and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003501?

Census tract 15003003501 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003003501?

Median gross rent is $1,929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003501?

16.0% of residents in tract 15003003501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,380.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 68th, minority 88th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 15003003501 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003501 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003003501 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003003501 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003501 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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