Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003004101 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,447 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 15003004101 runs through the Downtown neighborhood of Urban Honolulu. With 1,447 residents, it scores 5.6/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 61% of US census tracts.

About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,578 a month against an average household income of $53,468 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 25% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units803

Renter share61.9%

SVI overall0.54

Poverty rate19.1%

Median income$53,468

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3087, -157.8503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

19.1% poverty · this tract

4.8

Supply constraint

$1,578 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
64%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.5%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
18.9%Food insecurity
14.0%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
30.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and above the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Asian and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003004101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003004101?

Census tract 15003004101 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003004101?

Median gross rent is $1,578/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003004101?

19.1% of residents in tract 15003004101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,447.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003004101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 20th, minority 83th, housing 64th.

Is tract 15003004101 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003004101 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003004101 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003004101 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003004101 scores 5.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.