Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003004101 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,447 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 15003004101 covers part of the Downtown area of Urban Honolulu, HI, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,447 residents. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 25% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units803

Renter share61.9%

SVI overall0.54

Poverty rate19.1%

Median income$53,468

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3087, -157.8503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

19.1% poverty · this tract

4.8

Supply constraint

$1,578 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
64%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.5%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
18.9%Food insecurity
14.0%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
30.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

It sits 2.0 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $53,468, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against Honolulu County at 50.9%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,578, 13% below the Urban Honolulu average. Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003004101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003004101?

Census tract 15003004101 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003004101?

Median gross rent is $1,578/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003004101?

19.1% of residents in tract 15003004101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,447.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003004101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 20th, minority 83th, housing 64th.

Is tract 15003004101 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003004101 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003004101 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003004101 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003004101 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.