Within neighborhood
90
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003004102 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,577 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
15003004102 is a census tract in the Downtown area of Urban Honolulu, HI. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,577 residents. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 50.9% across Honolulu County.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,274
Renter share61.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$50,365
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3074, -157.8533 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,461 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.6%Food insecurity
- 20.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.9%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 33.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $50,365, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. At $1,461 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands.
Food insecurity runs 25.6% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003004102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003004102?
Census tract 15003004102 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003004102?
Median gross rent is $1,461/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003004102?
13.4% of residents in tract 15003004102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,577.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003004102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 67th, minority 91th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 15003004102 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003004102 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003004102 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003004102 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003004102 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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