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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003004301 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,536 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 15003004301 covers part of the Downtown area of Urban Honolulu, HI, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. 33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 33% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units961
Renter share48.9%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$80,865

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Downtown
Very High
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#37 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3128, -157.8458 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,805 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0043016.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,805, close to the Urban Honolulu average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003004301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003004301?

Census tract 15003004301 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003004301?

Median gross rent is $1,805/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003004301?

19.7% of residents in tract 15003004301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,536.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003004301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 80th, minority 88th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 15003004301 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003004301 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003004301 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003004301 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003004301 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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