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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003004301 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,536 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

The Downtown area of Urban Honolulu is where census tract 15003004301 sits, home to 2,536 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 43% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

33% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,805 a month while the average household earns $80,865 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 33% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units961
Renter share48.9%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$80,865

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 11 tracts In Downtown
Elevated
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3128, -157.8458 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,805 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 004301Urban Honolulu: 5.35.3Urban Honoluluparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and in line with the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Asian and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003004301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003004301?

Census tract 15003004301 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003004301?

Median gross rent is $1,805/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003004301?

19.7% of residents in tract 15003004301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,536.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003004301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 80th, minority 88th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 15003004301 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003004301 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003004301 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003004301 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003004301 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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