Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Moanalua Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003006703 ·
Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,746 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
15003006703 is a census tract in the Moanalua Valley area of Urban Honolulu, HI. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,746 residents. At $2,788 a month, rents run 53% over what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%Stable renters 22%Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units506
Renter share45.8%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$136,111
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Moanalua Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
16th percentile
#111 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Very Low
Within county
44th percentile
#186 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Moderate
Within state
47th percentile
#232 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3611, -157.8909 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moanalua Valley scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,788 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Moanalua Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
6%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.6%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
14.3%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
6.0%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
13.2%Frequent mental distress
27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moanalua Valley
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.
16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. 53% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $136,111. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003006703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003006703?
Census tract 15003006703 in the Moanalua Valley neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003006703?
Median gross rent is $2,788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003006703?
6.2% of residents in tract 15003006703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,746.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003006703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 77th, minority 80th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 15003006703 considered part of Moanalua Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003006703 fall within Moanalua Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003006703 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003006703 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003006703 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.