Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Moanalua Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003006703 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,746 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

How risky is the Moanalua Valley area of Urban Honolulu for landlords? Census tract 15003006703 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,788 a month against an average household income of $136,111 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 22% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units506

Renter share45.8%

SVI overall0.35

Poverty rate6.2%

Median income$136,111

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3611, -157.8909 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moanalua Valley scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

6.2% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$2,788 rent vs county FMR

5.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Moanalua Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

6%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.6%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
14.3%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
6.0%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
13.2%Frequent mental distress
27.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moanalua Valley

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and above the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003006703

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003006703?

Census tract 15003006703 in the Moanalua Valley neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003006703?

Median gross rent is $2,788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003006703?

6.2% of residents in tract 15003006703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,746.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003006703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 77th, minority 80th, housing 43th.

Is tract 15003006703 considered part of Moanalua Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003006703 fall within Moanalua Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003006703 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003006703 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003006703 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.