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Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Caldwell Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 16027021202 · Canyon County, ID · pop 4,026 · 60% of tract blocks fall in Caldwell

With a score of 4/10, tract 16027021202 in Caldwell, ID reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,026 residents. Cost burden runs 27% here against 42.6% across Canyon County.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 18% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,533
Renter share24.8%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$54,595

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 13 tracts In Caldwell
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 54 tracts In Canyon County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 456 tracts In Idaho
High
National
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#48,956 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Caldwell and the region

Centroid at 43.6880, -116.6877 · click any tract to drill in

Why Caldwell scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Caldwell
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,218 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Caldwell
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Caldwell
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Caldwell
2.5

How Caldwell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Caldwell risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 0212023.2Caldwellparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Caldwell

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Disability prevalence runs 45.0% against 31.5% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.1% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 25% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Canyon County average of 3.5 closely. Average gross rent is $1,218, close to the Caldwell average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 16027021202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16027021202?

Census tract 16027021202 in Caldwell scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 16027021202?

Median gross rent is $1,218/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 16027021202?

12.6% of residents in tract 16027021202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,026.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 16027021202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 58th, minority 65th, housing 57th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 16027021202 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 16027021202 compare to Caldwell overall?

Tract 16027021202 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Caldwell at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Caldwell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Caldwell

Top eight tracts in Caldwell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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