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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Clarendon Park Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031031502 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,622 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 17031031502 covers part of the Clarendon Park area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,622 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 47% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units2,516
Renter share90.4%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate40.4%
Median income$47,674

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Clarendon Park
Very Low
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#233 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9636, -87.6524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Clarendon Park scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
40.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,272 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Clarendon Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Clarendon Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 031502Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,173Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2002)
  • 52Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170310315022001: 134 filings (5.19/100 renter HHs)2002: 170 filings (6.59/100 renter HHs)2003: 127 filings (4.92/100 renter HHs)2004: 79 filings (3.06/100 renter HHs)2005: 60 filings (2.63/100 renter HHs)2006: 54 filings (2.37/100 renter HHs)2007: 70 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2008: 63 filings (2.76/100 renter HHs)2009: 49 filings (2.15/100 renter HHs)2010: 69 filings (3.42/100 renter HHs)2011: 68 filings (3.33/100 renter HHs)2012: 86 filings (4.22/100 renter HHs)2013: 48 filings (2.35/100 renter HHs)2014: 44 filings (2.16/100 renter HHs)2015: 52 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 61% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Clarendon Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Clarendon Park

The poverty rate is 40%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $47,674 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. SNAP participation runs 28.2% against 15.2% nationally.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,173 filings here across 15 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,272, 12% below the Chicago average.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2002 at 6.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031031502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031031502?

Census tract 17031031502 in the Clarendon Park neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031031502?

Median gross rent is $1,272/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031031502?

40.4% of residents in tract 17031031502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,622.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031031502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 28th, minority 73th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 17031031502 considered part of Clarendon Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031031502 fall within Clarendon Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031031502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,173 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031031502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.39% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031031502 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031031502 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031031502 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031031502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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