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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Northalsted Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031061800 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,204 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 17031061800 covers part of the Northalsted area of Chicago, IL, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,204. This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 41% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units745
Renter share79.7%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$76,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Northalsted
Very High
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#494 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#578 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#690 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9465, -87.6471 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northalsted scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,644 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Northalsted compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northalsted risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 061800Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 128Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 1.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.4%Peak (2003)
  • 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170310618002001: 13 filings (2.18/100 renter HHs)2002: 12 filings (2.01/100 renter HHs)2003: 20 filings (3.36/100 renter HHs)2004: 14 filings (2.35/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (1.46/100 renter HHs)2006: 6 filings (1.09/100 renter HHs)2007: 6 filings (1.09/100 renter HHs)2008: 7 filings (1.28/100 renter HHs)2009: 10 filings (1.82/100 renter HHs)2010: 16 filings (2.87/100 renter HHs)2011: 3 filings (0.51/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (0.34/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (0.68/100 renter HHs)2014: 5 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)2015: 2 filings (0.34/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 85% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northalsted. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northalsted

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10.

Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 128 eviction filings across 15 observed years.

Average gross rent is $1,644, 14% above the Chicago average. The worst year on record was 2003, when 3.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031061800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031061800?

Census tract 17031061800 in the Northalsted neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031061800?

Median gross rent is $1,644/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031061800?

9.6% of residents in tract 17031061800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,204.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031061800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 0th, minority 48th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 17031061800 considered part of Northalsted?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031061800 fall within Northalsted (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031061800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 128 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031061800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.48% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031061800 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031061800 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031061800 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031061800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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