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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeshore East Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031081402 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,942 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

17031081402 is a census tract in the Lakeshore East area of Chicago, IL. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 40% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units3,594
Renter share68.8%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$166,824

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lakeshore East
Very High
Within parent city
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#765 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#920 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#1,346 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8910, -87.6129 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeshore East scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$3,082 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Lakeshore East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeshore East risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 081402Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 447Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2002)
  • 28Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170310814022001: 33 filings (3.87/100 renter HHs)2002: 54 filings (6.33/100 renter HHs)2003: 35 filings (4.10/100 renter HHs)2004: 28 filings (3.28/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2006: 18 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2007: 23 filings (2.90/100 renter HHs)2008: 33 filings (4.16/100 renter HHs)2009: 31 filings (3.91/100 renter HHs)2010: 21 filings (1.47/100 renter HHs)2011: 39 filings (2.47/100 renter HHs)2012: 29 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)2013: 27 filings (1.71/100 renter HHs)2014: 30 filings (1.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 28 filings (1.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lakeshore East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeshore East

Average gross rent is $3,082, 114% above the Chicago average. The voucher gap is 75.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Court records carry 447 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Cost burden runs 41% here against 45.6% across Cook County.

It sits 0.8 points below the Cook County average of 6.1. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 6.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031081402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031081402?

Census tract 17031081402 in the Lakeshore East neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031081402?

Median gross rent is $3,082/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031081402?

6.6% of residents in tract 17031081402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,942.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031081402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 4th, minority 65th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 17031081402 considered part of Lakeshore East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031081402 fall within Lakeshore East (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031081402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 447 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031081402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.95% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031081402 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031081402 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031081402 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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