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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Kilbourn Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031151002 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,892 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of $1/10, tract 17031151002 in Kilbourn Park in Chicago ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,892 residents. On the national scale it ranks #20,820 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,209 a month against an average household income of $78,851 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 24% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,648
Renter share55.7%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$78,851

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Kilbourn Park
Low
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#471 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#538 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#824 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9425, -87.7472 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kilbourn Park scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,209 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Kilbourn Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kilbourn Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 151002Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 392Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak (2003)
  • 31Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170311510022001: 27 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2002: 17 filings (1.63/100 renter HHs)2003: 47 filings (4.52/100 renter HHs)2004: 15 filings (1.44/100 renter HHs)2005: 20 filings (2.08/100 renter HHs)2006: 20 filings (2.08/100 renter HHs)2007: 29 filings (3.01/100 renter HHs)2008: 24 filings (2.49/100 renter HHs)2009: 31 filings (3.22/100 renter HHs)2010: 31 filings (3.46/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (3.49/100 renter HHs)2012: 25 filings (3.12/100 renter HHs)2013: 23 filings (2.87/100 renter HHs)2014: 24 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2015: 31 filings (3.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kilbourn Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kilbourn Park

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031151002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031151002?

Census tract 17031151002 in the Kilbourn Park neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031151002?

Median gross rent is $1,209/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031151002?

12.2% of residents in tract 17031151002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,892.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031151002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 30th, minority 82th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 17031151002 considered part of Kilbourn Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031151002 fall within Kilbourn Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031151002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 392 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031151002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.86% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031151002 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031151002 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031151002 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031151002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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