Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally
Cragin Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031191100 · Cook County, IL · pop 6,651 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
For landlords sizing up Cragin in Chicago, census tract 17031191100 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,213 a month while the average household earns $53,683 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,898
Renter share67.7%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate33.4%
Median income$53,683
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9196, -87.7510 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cragin scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
33.4% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,213 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Cragin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 79%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 610Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2012)
- 40Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cragin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.0%Housing insecurity
- 17.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.1%Food insecurity
- 36.3%SNAP enrollment
- 18.7%Transit barriers
- 32.8%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 37.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cragin
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 610 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 3.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.1% of renter households in 2012.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031191100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031191100?
Census tract 17031191100 in the Cragin neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031191100?
Median gross rent is $1,213/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031191100?
33.4% of residents in tract 17031191100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,651.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031191100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 84th, minority 93th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 17031191100 considered part of Cragin?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031191100 fall within Cragin (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031191100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 610 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031191100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.73% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031191100 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031191100 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031191100 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031191100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Argyle Street
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Altgeld Gardens
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Philip Murray Homes
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Becks Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Homan Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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