Within neighborhood
86
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Cragin Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031191100 · Cook County, IL · pop 6,651 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031191100 in the Cragin area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,898
Renter share67.7%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate33.4%
Median income$53,683
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9196, -87.7510 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cragin scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
33.4% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,213 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Cragin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 79%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 610Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2012)
- 40Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cragin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.0%Housing insecurity
- 17.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.1%Food insecurity
- 36.3%SNAP enrollment
- 18.7%Transit barriers
- 32.8%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 37.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cragin
SNAP participation runs 36.3% against 15.2% nationally. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Cook County average of 45.6%. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.4/10. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. At $1,213 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records carry 610 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 5.1% of renter households were served.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031191100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031191100?
Census tract 17031191100 in the Cragin neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031191100?
Median gross rent is $1,213/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031191100?
33.4% of residents in tract 17031191100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,651.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031191100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 84th, minority 93th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 17031191100 considered part of Cragin?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031191100 fall within Cragin (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031191100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 610 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031191100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.73% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031191100 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031191100 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031191100 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031191100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chatham Fields
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
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