Within neighborhood
57
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Cragin Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031250700 · Cook County, IL · pop 6,466 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 17031250700 covers part of the Cragin area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units2,159
Renter share74.6%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$50,924
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9058, -87.7608 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cragin scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,097 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Cragin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,233Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.6%Peak (2013)
- 90Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cragin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.1%Housing insecurity
- 24.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.0%Food insecurity
- 50.5%SNAP enrollment
- 22.0%Transit barriers
- 19.2%No health insurance
- 19.9%Frequent mental distress
- 41.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cragin
SNAP participation runs 50.5% against 15.2% nationally. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.2/10.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,097, 24% below the Chicago average.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,233 filings here across 15 tracked years.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031250700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031250700?
Census tract 17031250700 in the Cragin neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031250700?
Median gross rent is $1,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031250700?
28.9% of residents in tract 17031250700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,466.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031250700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 79th, minority 98th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 17031250700 considered part of Cragin?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031250700 fall within Cragin (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031250700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,233 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031250700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.97% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031250700 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031250700 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031250700 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031250700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Avalon Highlands
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Edgewater Beach
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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