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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031221000 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,571 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 17031221000 sits in the Pacific Junction area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Cook County average of 45.6%.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 54% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,100
Renter share75.2%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$89,044

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 16 tracts In Pacific Junction
Very Low
Within parent city
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#524 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#610 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#716 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9210, -87.7153 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pacific Junction scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,816 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Pacific Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pacific Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 221000Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 369Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.3%Peak (2001)
  • 14Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312210002001: 49 filings (7.28/100 renter HHs)2002: 37 filings (5.50/100 renter HHs)2003: 32 filings (4.75/100 renter HHs)2004: 41 filings (6.09/100 renter HHs)2005: 24 filings (3.88/100 renter HHs)2006: 18 filings (2.91/100 renter HHs)2007: 21 filings (3.40/100 renter HHs)2008: 15 filings (2.43/100 renter HHs)2009: 19 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2010: 18 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2011: 23 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (3.37/100 renter HHs)2013: 22 filings (3.53/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (2.41/100 renter HHs)2015: 14 filings (2.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 71% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Average gross rent is $1,816, 26% above the Chicago average. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 369 filings here across 15 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 7.3% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031221000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031221000?

Census tract 17031221000 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031221000?

Median gross rent is $1,816/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031221000?

11.9% of residents in tract 17031221000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,571.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031221000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 8th, minority 73th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 17031221000 considered part of Pacific Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031221000 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031221000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 369 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031221000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.82% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031221000 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031221000 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031221000 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031221000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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