Within neighborhood
7
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031230200 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,977 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 17031230200 sits in the Pacific Junction area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units688
Renter share56.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$78,056
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
31
th percentile
Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9119, -87.7101 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pacific Junction scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,358 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Pacific Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 99%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 184Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2001)
- 13Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.5%Food insecurity
- 14.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 16.7%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 184 filings here across 15 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 4.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,358, close to the Chicago average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031230200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031230200?
Census tract 17031230200 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031230200?
Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031230200?
6.6% of residents in tract 17031230200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,977.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031230200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 30th, minority 78th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 17031230200 considered part of Pacific Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031230200 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031230200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 184 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031230200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.27% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031230200 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031230200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031230200 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031230200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Branch Addition
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chatham Fields
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Edgewater Beach
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Dauphin Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
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