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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031230200 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,977 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.5/10 for census tract 17031230200 reflects conditions in the Pacific Junction area of Chicago, Illinois. It lands near the 58th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,358 a month while the average household earns $78,056 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 36% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units688
Renter share56.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$78,056

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 16 tracts In Pacific Junction
Very Low
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#554 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#655 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#1,068 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9119, -87.7101 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pacific Junction scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,358 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Pacific Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pacific Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 230200Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 184Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2001)
  • 13Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312302002001: 19 filings (4.70/100 renter HHs)2002: 18 filings (4.46/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (1.24/100 renter HHs)2004: 9 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)2005: 7 filings (2.12/100 renter HHs)2006: 12 filings (3.64/100 renter HHs)2007: 17 filings (5.15/100 renter HHs)2008: 14 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)2009: 13 filings (3.94/100 renter HHs)2010: 10 filings (2.49/100 renter HHs)2011: 14 filings (3.45/100 renter HHs)2012: 16 filings (3.94/100 renter HHs)2013: 6 filings (1.48/100 renter HHs)2014: 11 filings (2.71/100 renter HHs)2015: 13 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 99% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031230200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031230200?

Census tract 17031230200 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031230200?

Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031230200?

6.6% of residents in tract 17031230200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,977.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031230200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 30th, minority 78th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 17031230200 considered part of Pacific Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031230200 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031230200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 184 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031230200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.27% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031230200 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031230200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031230200 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031230200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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