Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031200402 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,072 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
17031200402 is a census tract in the Pacific Junction area of Chicago, IL. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,072. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Cook County average of 45.6%.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,340
Renter share45.1%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$77,091
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9196, -87.7297 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pacific Junction scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,170 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Pacific Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 92%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 327Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2011)
- 19Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.5%Housing insecurity
- 11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.4%Food insecurity
- 22.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 28.2%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.2% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Housing insecurity runs 25.5% against 14.2% nationally.
At $1,170 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The filing record is not thin: 327 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2011, when 5.8% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031200402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031200402?
Census tract 17031200402 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031200402?
Median gross rent is $1,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031200402?
9.6% of residents in tract 17031200402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,072.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031200402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 53th, minority 85th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 17031200402 considered part of Pacific Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031200402 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031200402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 327 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031200402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.24% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031200402 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031200402 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031200402 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031200402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Cheltenham
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Rosemoor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Brighton
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
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