Within neighborhood
13
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031200402 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,072 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
In Pacific Junction in Chicago, census tract 17031200402 scores 5.2/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #45,075 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,170 monthly, set against $77,091 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,340
Renter share45.1%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$77,091
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9196, -87.7297 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pacific Junction scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,170 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Pacific Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 92%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 327Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2011)
- 19Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.5%Housing insecurity
- 11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.4%Food insecurity
- 22.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 28.2%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 327 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.8% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031200402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031200402?
Census tract 17031200402 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031200402?
Median gross rent is $1,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031200402?
9.6% of residents in tract 17031200402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,072.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031200402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 53th, minority 85th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 17031200402 considered part of Pacific Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031200402 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031200402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 327 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031200402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.24% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031200402 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031200402 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031200402 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031200402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Altgeld Gardens
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Philip Murray Homes
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Becks Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Homan Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Central Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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