Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Moreland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031251200 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,840 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 17031251200 sits in the Moreland area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. Cost burden runs 67% here against 45.6% across Cook County.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 10% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,208
Renter share31.2%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$64,309

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Moreland
Very Low
Within parent city
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#501 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#583 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#690 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8985, -87.7606 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moreland scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,016 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Moreland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moreland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 251200Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 490Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 7.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.5%Peak (2009)
  • 32Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312512002001: 30 filings (6.30/100 renter HHs)2002: 36 filings (7.56/100 renter HHs)2003: 46 filings (9.66/100 renter HHs)2004: 42 filings (8.82/100 renter HHs)2005: 32 filings (9.20/100 renter HHs)2006: 37 filings (10.63/100 renter HHs)2007: 22 filings (6.32/100 renter HHs)2008: 21 filings (6.03/100 renter HHs)2009: 47 filings (13.51/100 renter HHs)2010: 34 filings (7.78/100 renter HHs)2011: 31 filings (6.81/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (5.27/100 renter HHs)2013: 18 filings (3.96/100 renter HHs)2014: 38 filings (8.35/100 renter HHs)2015: 32 filings (7.03/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moreland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moreland

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 32.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. At $1,016 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 490 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2009 at 13.5% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031251200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031251200?

Census tract 17031251200 in the Moreland neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031251200?

Median gross rent is $1,016/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031251200?

6.4% of residents in tract 17031251200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,840.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031251200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 94th, minority 99th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 17031251200 considered part of Moreland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031251200 fall within Moreland (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031251200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 490 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031251200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.82% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031251200 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031251200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031251200 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031251200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related