Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Elsdon Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031640100 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,348 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 6.5/10, tract 17031640100 in the Elsdon area of Chicago, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,348 residents. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units493
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$67,585
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
36
th percentile
Low
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7819, -87.7399 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elsdon scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,020 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Elsdon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 78%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 68Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2011)
- 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elsdon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.3%Housing insecurity
- 10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.3%Food insecurity
- 19.9%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 24.2%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elsdon
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
At $1,020 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 24.2% against 11.3% nationally. Court records carry 68 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
Housing insecurity runs 22.3% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2011 at 4.3% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031640100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031640100?
Census tract 17031640100 in the Elsdon neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031640100?
Median gross rent is $1,020/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031640100?
6.4% of residents in tract 17031640100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,348.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031640100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 38th, minority 87th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 17031640100 considered part of Elsdon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031640100 fall within Elsdon (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031640100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 68 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031640100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.48% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031640100 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031640100 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031640100 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031640100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Clarendon Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Polish Village
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Cottage
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Park Manor Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Essex
8.1
/ 10 · High
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