Within neighborhood
22
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Elsdon Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031620200 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,948 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 17031620200 covers part of the Elsdon area of Chicago, IL, and scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units759
Renter share37.0%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$64,107
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
31
th percentile
Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7955, -87.7292 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elsdon scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,024 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Elsdon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 326Total filings over 15 yrs
- 7.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.1%Peak (2002)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 73% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elsdon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.0%Food insecurity
- 17.9%SNAP enrollment
- 11.3%Transit barriers
- 23.5%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elsdon
73% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Cook County average of 45.6%. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Average gross rent is $1,024, 29% below the Chicago average. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.5% against 11.3% nationally.
Court records carry 326 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Food insecurity runs 26.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 19.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031620200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031620200?
Census tract 17031620200 in the Elsdon neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031620200?
Median gross rent is $1,024/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031620200?
3.4% of residents in tract 17031620200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031620200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 73th, minority 78th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 17031620200 considered part of Elsdon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031620200 fall within Elsdon (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031620200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 326 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031620200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.18% of renter households, peaking at 19.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031620200 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031620200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031620200 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031620200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Branch Addition
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chatham Fields
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
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